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Read the latest views from Pascal Blanqué, Group Chief Investment Officer, Amundi, Vincent Mortier, Deputy Chief Investment Officer, Amundi, and others in our newest issue
Economic and investment implications following the trade war escalation.
The Gilets Jaunes (Yellow Vests) are a largely spontaneous protest movement that emerged in France, in October. With no declared political affiliation, they called for lower taxes and a higher level of social transfers and public services.The protests, in our view, will have a modest negative economic impact on growth, as a consequence of two opposite effects: a fiscal stimulus (with an impact on public deficit) and damage to business and investor confidence. We have just reduced our forecast on French real GDP growth from 1.5% to 1.4% for next year, while the deficit, depending on the measures, could be higher than 3%, before declining in 2020.
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