US Midterm Elections: A Divided Congress Opens Two Possible Scenarios

Wednesday 07 November 2018

Market Insights

Electoral results broadly confirmed our central scenario of a divided Congress, with Democrats winning the House and the GOP reaffirming its control in the Senate. We believe there are two paths that could emerge between the Democratic leadership in the House and Trump. Read our views on those two paths and the possible market reaction and investment implications in our latest perspective.

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10/09/2018 Market Insights

US Midterm Elections: Potential Economic Agenda and Market Implications

In the upcoming US midterm elections on November 6, there are high expectations of divided Congress, with the Democratic Party taking control of the House of Representatives and the Republicans – or Grand Old Party (GOP) retaining control of the Senate. Other scenarios are possible: the GOP could maintain control of Congress or the Democrats could sweep both the House and the Senate.In this piece, we examine some of the reasons why we believe the most likely election outcome is a divided Congress. We then look at the economic agendas for both parties and potential issues around their implementation. Finally, we analyze possible investment implications on US equities and fixed income markets. Read here